Ali Bakir is an Assistant Professor of International Affairs, Security, and Defense at Qatar University and Senior Nonresident Fellow at the Middle East Council on Global Affairs.
One must approach prospects of US-Iran agreement with caution. It is essential to recognize that this is not a comprehensive peace agreement but rather a transitional framework16 June 2026
This ceasefire should be seen as a tactical exit ramp that each party walked onto for very different reasons. Understanding those reasons is the key to forecasting whether the pause hardens into peace or dissolves back into war.09 April 2026
